Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 10.339704 11.806041 13.357497 15.116321 17.049784 19.105407 21.451018
2025-06-08 8.275472 10.308580 12.600876 15.356670 18.558775 22.141231 26.430411
2025-06-15 7.135376 9.611874 12.565073 16.297873 20.838984 26.132393 32.713904
2025-06-22 5.915327 8.607999 11.998218 16.490326 22.189903 29.082151 37.939635
2025-06-29 4.710237 7.419526 11.022536 16.022206 22.625641 30.889385 41.836051
2025-07-06 3.734301 6.371543 10.073909 15.444869 22.811285 32.325219 45.277860
2025-07-13 3.340878 6.086022 10.111668 16.159059 24.697330 35.990804 51.683084
2025-07-20 3.118522 6.018438 10.435190 17.270111 27.157318 40.494775 59.338152
2025-07-27 2.881254 5.885805 10.633426 18.191452 29.376797 44.743371 66.788123
2025-08-03 2.520296 5.487939 10.372156 18.390574 30.550228 47.580756 72.406881
2025-08-10 2.104066 4.922506 9.774746 18.010488 30.828405 49.148855 76.304166
2025-08-17 1.781706 4.472321 9.309875 17.782892 31.292002 50.962851 80.564176
2025-08-24 1.524767 4.112060 8.970398 17.746375 32.068350 53.296427 85.701479
2025-08-31 1.291403 3.755520 8.594732 17.613077 32.676008 55.395947 90.565856
2025-09-07 1.202710 3.698160 8.761344 18.409712 34.790768 59.802280 98.895913
2025-09-14 1.041814 3.442990 8.521328 18.472273 35.712275 62.431875 104.689979
2025-09-21 0.840440 3.041814 7.942359 17.874375 35.501399 63.306698 107.891563
2025-09-28 0.666480 2.662130 7.352333 17.195599 35.098926 63.845200 110.575951
2025-10-05 0.624627 2.637712 7.513038 17.940662 37.158061 68.306434 119.310460
2025-10-12 0.616141 2.709877 7.891588 19.125579 40.023005 74.120154 130.237480
2025-10-19 0.593354 2.733737 8.162107 20.110392 42.567963 79.480803 140.573795
2025-10-26 0.524807 2.596185 8.047047 20.318390 43.738515 82.650455 147.581637
2025-11-02 0.431911 2.348656 7.640819 19.903421 43.763519 83.945512 151.683783